Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
Plus
14
Ṁ3722Jan 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.
Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
60% chance
Will NATO take direct military action against Russia by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Russia strike NATO member countries hosting transit bases for Ukrainian military equipment by EOY 2025?
14% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
3% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will a NATO country shoot down a crewed Russian aircraft in 2025?
15% chance
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
98% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance