Will Oregon meet its housing production goal and how many units will be produced by the end of 2024?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ171
Jan 1
5%
Yes; > 40,000
6%
Yes; 36,000 - 39,999
6%
No; 32,000 - 35,999
11%
No; 28,000 - 31,999
7%
No; 24,000 - 27,999
7%
No; 20,000 - 23,999
16%
No; 16,000 - 19,999
31%
No; 12,000 - 15,999
5%
No; 8,000 - 11,999
5%
No; < 8,000

Background

In 2023, Governor Tina Kotek enacted Executive Order 23-04. The EO initiated a significant policy shift that aims to increase the state's housing production to 36,000 units annually for the next decade, an 80% increase from the preceding years' average production of 20,000 units.

Oregon Housing Production (2018-2023)

2023 - TBD

2022 - 13,792

2021 - 14,943

2020 - 15,944

2019 - 13,978

2018 - 14,717


Market Resolution

This is a prediction market. Market will close at the end of the year (31 Dec 2024)

The market will resolve to one option depending on:

  • If Oregon met its annual production goal of 36,000 housing units

  • How many units were actually produced

Oregon cities must submit annual housing production reports for the previous calendar year to the Department of Land Conservation and Development by 1 Feb the following year. Market will resolve based on these reports.


Disclaimer

I do not bet in markets I create to avoid motivated reasoning. In the event that I am unable or unavailable to resolve the market, the market may be resolved by Manifold Mods. Any changes to the market description will be noted in the change log.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
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