Will AiresAI achieve the SoTA model on benchmarks by the end of the year?
Mini
4
Ṁ3642026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
55% chance
Will OpenAI models achieve ≥90% on SimpleBench by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Will an AI system beat humans in the GAIA benchmark before the end of 2025?
68% chance
Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
9% chance
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2026?
In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench benchmark?
-
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
55% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
68% chance
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
53% chance