Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?
Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?
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Specifically, will Tesla upgrade any customer's car (not tesla employee/testing car) initially produced with a hardware 3 FSD computer to be able to run either unsupervised FSD, or the same-or-better model as what hardware 4 cars are running at that time?
I would guess that Tesla will not do this until unsupervised is already solved, but if Tesla upgrades the hardware to have full parity with hw4 but hasn't solved unsupervised on hw4 yet this will resolve yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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