Will the number of National Association of Realtors members in the USA fall below 1.3 million by EOY 2028?
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2
Ṁ232028
66%
chance
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1W
1M
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I will judge this based on data from Statista: https://www.statista.com/statistics/196269/us-national-association-of-realtors-number-of-members-since-1910/. As of 2023-11-10, Statista states: "In 2022, the association had nearly 1.6 million members."
If the number falls below 1.3 million members, this resolves to YES on the spot since this is by EOY 2028 not 'at' EOY 2028.
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1,000
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