Resolves YES if the successor to OpenAI's Jukebox (openai.com) is released before market close. Otherwise NO. This market does not resolve NA or PROB.
"Jukebox 2" is any autoencoder and transformer-based audio generation model that generates raw audio(as opposed to MIDI), can generate at least rudimentary approximations to singing; or that is explicitly named "Jukebox 2".
Also see the 2023 variant:
1,000
1.00Hi - What counts as "released" here?
How would each of the following scenarios resolve?
- OpenAI publishes a blog post or technical paper detailing the model/tech but does not release an API nor weights, no one can access the model. There is not sufficient information in the blog post to replicate the model.
- OpenAI publishes a blog post or technical paper blog post detailing the model/tech but does not release an API nor weights, no one can access the model. There is sufficient information in the paper to replicate the model.
as a separate aside,
""Jukebox 2" is any autoencoder and transformer-based audio generation model that generates raw audio"
how would it resolve if there was a release, and the model was an autoencoder but not a transformer? judging by the and here it should be a prerequisite, but i would consider this predicto=ion effectively fulfilled if e.g it turned out to be a State Space Model or something similar.
@1111111 It's released if somebody not affiliated with OpenAI can use it. That means no signing legal agreements like NDAs or researcher agreements, outside of a standard EULA. It has to be the model they trained(by API or weights) - instructions to replicate isn't enough.
For that clause to count, it does have to use an autoencoder and transformer somewhere in the architecture. I won't associate a name like "MusicBox Pro" to "Jukebox 2" without that. This market might remain closed without resolution if there's a possibly-eligible model without those details known.