Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Ethiopia in 2026?
1
Ṁ302027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
21%
Eritrea
10%
Djibouti
10%
Somalia
10%
Kenya
23%
South Sudan
26%
Get
1,000and
1.00
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Scenario #2: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
Scenario #1: Which of the countries will the Sudan's war spillover after Chad in 2026?
Continuing from Scenerio #3: Which of the will the Sudan's war spillover after South Sudan in 2027?
Will the U.S. send troops to Sudan by 2026?
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Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?
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Will Ethiopia retake the port of Assab in Eritrea by 2026?
20% chance
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
As Sudan defeat against Rapid Defense Force in 2025, what will led to which scenario?
POLL
Will the purposely unclaimed Bir Tawil territory between Egypt and Sudan be claimed by at least one country by EOY 2040?
66% chance