Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)? | Manifold

Who will believe in AGI first, Manifold (Yes) or OpenAI (No)?

8

Ṁ2054

2030

26%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Which will be true first:

YES:

NO:

OpenAI announces they (or someone else) have achieved AGI

#️ Technology

#Technical AI Timelines

#GPT-5 Speculation

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Related questions

Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

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Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)

Do OpenAI leadership actually believe they could develop AGI?

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