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Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
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This market resolves Yes if Russia officially states that Crimea is not part of Russia anymore before January 1, 2030. This question is not about actual control or third-party recognition.

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#πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia war
#πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Russia
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