๐ Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher Than Human Level at Answering Multiple Choice, Grounded Situations (EO 2024)?
Mini
5
แน98Jan 1
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the 2024 version of the linked market. I will fill in details later.
I may use an updated metric if the above metric is stale. I aim to get the details to this market completed by end of January 2024.
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-any-ai-effectively-achieve-sup
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
๐ Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
37% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Understand the, "Meaning" of Questions Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
46% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?
30% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?
43% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024?
47% chance
๐ Will AI Achieve Significantly More, "Embodiment" by end of 2024?
20% chance
๐ Will A.I. Get Significantly Better At, "Community Based Ethical Judgements," by the End of 2024?
37% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Gain a Much Broader Academic and Professional Understanding by the End of 2024?
43% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Significantly Better at, "Egocentric Navigation," by the End of 2024?
36% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Meet Just Below Human Performance In Being Able to "Track Changes in State," By the End of 2024?
32% chance