Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 discover significant amounts of rare earth elements?
Mini
5
Ṁ80Jan 1
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if a Major Source confirms the samples brought back by Chang'e-6 suggest there are economically viable amounts of any rare earth elements.
lanthanum (La), cerium (Ce), praseodymium (Pr), neodymium (Nd), promethium (Pm), samarium (Sm), europium (Eu), gadolinium (Gd), terbium (Tb), dysprosium (Dy), holmium (Ho), erbium (Er), thulium (Tm), ytterbium (Yb), lutetium (Lu), scandium (Sc), and yttrium (Y)
Example of "major source"
Agencies: NASA, CSA, ESA, ISRO, CNSA, JAXA
Companies: SpaceX, Blue Origin, Virgin Galatic, Rocket Lab
Publications: Nature, Science, Astronomy & Astrophysics, The Astrophysical Journal
ETC: Any major news network/Government.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
In 2024, will China introduce new export tariffs on rare earth elements?
21% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 8 mission successfully land on the moon?
76% chance
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
65% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 7 mission successfully land on the moon?
90% chance
Will CNSA's Chang'e 6 mission successfully return a sample from the moon?
99% chance
Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?
73% chance
Will humans have developed the infrastructure to extract rare elements from sources outside of Earth by the year 2200?
92% chance