This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?

One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

Will I have asked the 2nd most # of questions on manifold.markets questions by EOY2025?

What percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?

Which manifold.markets user will have the most questions asked about them by EOY 2025?

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Will this market resolve below 50% probability