Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030
Mini
8
Ṁ415
2029
24%
chance

This market will resolve yes if it is reported (in a reputable fashion) by Wikipedia that 10 or more peeople are injured/killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece after the start date of this market. I will likely refer to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegean_dispute, however any Wikipedia page counts (I'm more or less intending to use it as a news aggregator in this case). If multiple reputable sources for >10 people being injured/killed are posted in the comments, I am likely to count that as well.

I will verify the source shown on Wikipedia, and will not resolve this market to yes if it seems like the source is false. If the reputability of the source becomes a contentious point, I will attempt to compensate an (uninvested) Admin to resolve this market.

I will not bet in this market.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.

See also:


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