Will GPT-5 launch before 1 January 2025?
Plus
210
Ṁ95kJan 1
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question will resolve yes if a product by openai is launched with the name "GPT-5" before 1 January 2025.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Arbitrage: https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/in-what-month-will-openai-broadly-r
Slightly different condition because it requires broad public release, while this market does not specify the exact condition. I still don't think that accounts for the 10pp difference.
Slightly different name conditions but arbitrage:
https://manifold.markets/VictorLJZ/will-gpt5-be-released-before-2025
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?
2% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Mar 2025?
24% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
60% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
39% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2025?
7% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
50% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Apr 2025?
27% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Sep 2025?
70% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Aug 2025?
72% chance
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
62% chance