Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)
Mini
9
Ṁ3712033
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this question, it's sufficient if U.S. intelligence services took meaningful and deliberate action to cause the assassination (e.g. paying somebody else to do it).
I will differ from simple PROB resolution conservatively, only to avoid market failures. For instance, I may randomize the precise close time, or use the probability from the day before close. I will not be betting in this market.
Jan 24, 12:07pm: Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves PROB in 10 years) → Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
how will the market resolve? who judges (in 10 years) whether JFK was assassinated by inteligence services? edit: nvm, I see it resolves to PROB
Related questions
Related questions
What will be revealed in the newly released files regarding the JFK/MLK/RFK assassinations? [Add Answers]
Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?
Who actually killed JFK?
Will there be a consensus amongst scholars and historians as to who orchestrated JFK's assassination by 2030?
58% chance
Did the CIA play any role in the killing of JFK
Did Lee Harvey Oswald kill John F Kennedy?
91% chance
If the CIA's JFK assassination documents are declassified, what will they reveal? [ADD YOUR OWN]
Will further evidence emerge that the CIA was involved in the assassination of JFK?
17% chance
Will There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
8% chance
JFK files declassified - maybe his head just did that
9% chance