Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes
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29
Ṁ1428Jan 1
23%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 70% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
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@Shump Fyi the substack post is gated. I don't think I can tell what the market criteria is from just what you've posted, but maybe I'm missing something. Can you paste the relevant text from the post?
Or is it really any legislation passes that has anything to do with those topics?
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