F1 - Who will be the 115th driver to win a Grand Prix?
Mini
12
Ṁ1600
resolved Jul 21
100%98.8%
Oscar Piastri
0.1%
Alex Albon
0.1%
Lance Stroll
0.2%
Yuki Tsunoda
0.1%
Kevin Magnussen
0.2%
Nico Hulkenberg
0.2%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
0.2%Other

Lando Norris's exciting victory in Miami makes him the 114th winner of an official WDC race since the start of the World Championship in 1950.

Who will be the next to add themselves to the list?

The last few new winners were:

  • 114 - Lando Norris (2024)

  • 113 - George Russel (2022)

  • 112 - Carlos Sainz (2022)

  • 111 - Esteban Ocon (2021)

  • 110 - Sergio Perez (2020)

  • 109 - Pierre Gasly (2020)

  • 108 - Charles Leclerc (2019)

  • 107 - Valtteri Bottas (2017)

  • 106 - Max Verstappen (2016)

  • 105 - Daniel Ricciardo (2014)

Market/resolution notes:

  • This should not matter for the market, but the current 114 figure is based on the official F1/FIA designations. So it includes winners of the Indy 500 when it was part of the WDC, it includes the years when F1 was run to Formula 2 rules and it excludes non-championship F1 races. To avoid ambiguity, my markets will always go by these official definitions!

  • The market will resolve to the next driver to win an officially designated Grand Prix which is part of the WDC. If there is an unsanctioned race or some form of breakaway series, a win there will not count.

  • A win in a sprint race will not count.

  • Please feel free to add more drivers to the market, especially if you think that the current winners will continue to dominate and you've got your eyes on an up-and-coming superstar from the junior formulae! The market will resolve to the name of a driver, so do not add an option like "an American woman" or "someone we haven't heard of yet". Do not add drivers who have already won a race - the market will not resolve to them.

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bought Ṁ700 Oscar Piastri YES

@traders

As expected by the market, it’s Oscar Piastri!

The next winner seems a bit less predictable - there’s no obvious winless driver in a fast car waiting in the wings like there was with Norris and Piastri…

/SimonGrayson/f1-who-will-be-the-116th-driver-to