When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release?
When will The Elder Scrolls 6 (TES6) release?
Plus
23
Ṁ11102030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
2026 or earlier
41%
2027
23%
2028
8%
2029
12%
2030 or later
What year will TES6 release? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elder_Scrolls
It's release date is supposedly far away and unknown.
When the game releases, that year will resolve YES and all others will resolve NO.
At the end of each year without release the appropriate answer will resolve NO.
At the end of 2029, if there is still no release the final answer of 2030 or later will resolve YES.
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bought Ṁ20 2027 YES
Arbitrage opportunities:
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https://manifold.markets/jonny/will-bethesda-publicly-release-the
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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