Each date resolves YES if a Super Heavy booster is used in a launch intended to send Starship to space, returns to Earth in one piece, and then and then launches on another mission intended to deliver a starship to space, before that date, using local time at the launch site.

Inspired by this market by the venerable @chrisjbillington, but with more dates https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/first-reflight-of-a-super-heavy-boo

Edit 1/8/2024: Changed responses to YYYY/MM/DD for easier sorting