Will US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
Mini
8
Ṁ2352031
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using data from here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SPDYNTFRTINUSA
The last time it was above 2 was before 2008 financial crisis. Will we see it get back up above 2 by the end of the decade?
Will resolve YES if any year is recorded with a fertility rate greater than 2, even if it comes back down by 2030.
The last year in scope will be 2029, but resolution will have to wait for final stats to be reported for 2029.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?
25% chance
Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
20% chance
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
42% chance
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
44% chance
What will US total fertility rate be in 2030
1.5
Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
13% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032?
21% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
62% chance
When will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level?