Which will most likely be the type of person to next change history?
Mini
16
Ṁ427
Jan 2
22%
A politician
1.1%
An artist
47%
A scientist
1.2%
A cultist
29%
Someone lucky

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Is the close time correct? ie does this market close next week? If so why? and who determines the correct resolution, do you go off of your own personal opinion @TristanBolton

@TheBayesian I intend to leave this question up for a year. Then I’ll post a poll. The winner of the poll will decide this close out.

If this person is Trump, does this poll resolve to Politician AND Cultist?

@SpaceboyLuke Your choice ultimately. How much as a politician has he changed our country, or how much as a cult of personality has he changed our culture.

Please clarify “change history” - What’s the minimum threshold for change?

@Vik Significant enough to look back on even yesterday to be able to see a clear difference in how our lives will lead.

@TristanBolton but that’s still vague. 2.4M people were displaced by Netanyahu—does that count? Does the invention of a scientist count? like resolution criteria is super unclear. Please provide some examples of what counts and what doesn't count! Thanks :)

@Vik Think back on your own life. If you’ve been on this world for 40 or even 20 years, could you determine the rough time your life completely changed due to a suddenly common invention, lifestyle choice, way of thinking, or societal structure? Any of which were brought in by no one in particular, and was just something that came about because of its origins. Those origins could easily have come from a political venture, a revolutionary choice, a scientific breakthrough, or even an artistic expression.

I imagine these changes are differently noticed for everyone, but if everyone answers with this in mind, we may very well see an interesting trend in the data. Don’t you think?