Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?

Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?

Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?

Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2030?

[Metaculus] By 2050, will at least 25% of #1 NYT Best Selling Fiction be primarily written by AI?

Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?

Will a second Asian language novel win a Hugo award for Best Novel by EOY 2030?

Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?

Will a movie made entirely by artificial intelligence win an Academy Award by 2030?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?