MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ948
2030
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas. For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.

https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png

#Self-Driving Vehicles
#Cars
#Automotive
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
1 Comment
Sort by:
Comment hidden

Related questions

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
80% chance
Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
11% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
87% chance
Will more people travel between cities by self driving car than by inter city rail before 2037
42% chance
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
24% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
Will there be autonomous school busses in service in the USA by 2030?
75% chance
When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
12% chance

Related questions

Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
80% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
24% chance
Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
11% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
87% chance
Will there be autonomous school busses in service in the USA by 2030?
75% chance
Will more people travel between cities by self driving car than by inter city rail before 2037
42% chance
When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?
7% chance
Will intersections where self-driving cars can ignore traffic signals exist in the US by end of 2030?
12% chance
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout