Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
21
แน27972026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a candidate who is neither a Democrat or a Republican, and is supported by Elon Musk, is elected to the US Senate or House of Representatives by the end of 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
4% chance
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
25% chance
Will a third party win a federal office in the US before the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
56% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
20% chance
Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
15% chance
Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
49% chance
Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?
11% chance
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
4% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
37% chance