SOAI#1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
17
áš12022026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #1: A major retailer reports >5% of online sales from agentic checkout as AI agent advertising spend hits $5B.
If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
37% chance
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
34% chance
OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?
33% chance
xAI IPOs by EOY 2026?
12% chance
Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? đ°
4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.
57% chance
Apple announces AI company purchase for over $500m by end of 2025
15% chance
Before 2026, will you be able to buy ads in a mainstream AI assistant?
12% chance
xAI launches its own browser by EOY2025?
7% chance
Will Cloud Providers see greater revenue growth in 2025 than AI companies?