Resolves YES if Pieter Omtzigt doesn't occupy any national political office at midnight of January 31st 2025. The positions that count are: (Prime) ministers, state secretaries, chairs of the house or senate, and members of the house or senate. Demissionary positions count.

Resolves NO if Omtzigt is absent for less than 40% of his duties throughout the year, and resolves YES if he is absent for more than 90%. If Omtzigt is absent from between 40% and 90% of his duties throughout the year, this question resolves to that percentage.

(I have no precise definition for the percentage absence for now and will use my own judgment*).

If Omtzigt is present on January 31st, the year is considered to run from February 1st 2024 until January 31st.

If Omtzigt is absent on January 31st, the market close date is delayed to September 3rd 2025 (the day after parliamentary summer recess ends) and the market resolves YES if he doesn't return by midnight September 2nd 2025. If he does return before then, 'the year' is considered to run from February 1st 2024 until his return and otherwise resolves normally.

I may resolve early based on Omtzigt's statements or blatant common sense. Dutch local time applies. I will not bet on this market except to bring it from 1% or less to 0% or from 99% or more to 100%.

*: Being involuntarily unable to perform his duties counts as absence. Not holding any national political office counts as absence. Scheduled parliamentary recess, weekends, and holidays with reasonable duration do not count as absence or presence. Reduced workload counts as partial absence.