One year from now, will the percentage that this question resolves YES (as shown by Manifold) be above 50%?

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

Which manifold.markets user will have the most questions asked about them by EOY 2024?

Will Manifold significantly improve the reliability of extreme market probabilities before the end of 2024?

What percentage of current Manifold.Markets users asking questions that resolve in 2030 will close out their own post?

Will the odds of this market be below 50% at the end of 2024?

Will Questions of the form "Will this question go below X% before R" be banned by manifold markets before 2025?

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

Will Manifold stop having obviously wrong probabilities on markets with >=50 traders by the end of 2024?