Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029
Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029
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1,0001.00What is this?
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will there be a >100page fanfiction romance novel of Nick Cammarata falling in love with janus/repligate by EOY2028?
50% chance
Will there be more fanfiction w/gwern than fanfiction with janus/repligate by EOY2028?
50% chance
Judgement Day fanfic featuring Alex Zhu, repligate, JDP, Alexey guzey,Jose ricon,razib Khan, and parafactual by EOY 2028
50% chance
Will someone/ LLM write a fanfic of Jose Luis Ricon romancing with janus/repligate and saving the world together by 2029
50% chance
Will someone/LLM write fanfic of gwern saving janus/repligate in castle, falling in love, and saving the world by 2029?
50% chance
Will Joscha Bach OR janus/repligate OR nearcyan OR NickCammarata be mentioned in FanFiction.Net story by EOY2026?
69% chance
Will a fanfic of repligate, gwern, JDP, Sonia Joseph,andgaspode going thru Hogwarts together +saving the world by 2028
50% chance
Will someone write an anime or manga with repligate/janus as a character by EOY2027
48% chance
Will someone write a fanfic featuring 3 of turntrout, quintin pope, Nora Melrose, Leo Gao, JDP, or repligate by EOY2026
39% chance
By EOY2028, will there be a 50+page fanfic about Jose Luis Ricon and janus/repligate falling in love?
50% chance