@kabukiJones currently this market can't really be bet on as traders don't have much information on how it will resolve.

Two recommendations that would improve this situation:

1. Set a deadline: "Will they make an album by <date>", and set the market close date to this date. The market is currently set to close tomorrow, but that's probably not the deadline you had in mind. Or perhaps you could ask "will their next album be a disco album?", and then keep extending the market close date as needed until they release an album.

2. What part of "making" an album counts? For example: "Will they release an album by <date>" or "Will they announce an album by <date>.