Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030?
Plus
21
Ṁ9212030
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by a $400 bet to the affirmative by Dale Vince on longbets.
I believe the bet is about the adult UK population, so here on manifold we'll go based on that.
Vince's argument:
Veganism is growing rapidly in the UK - Sainsbury's, one of the country's leading supermarkets says 25% of the adult population will live on a plant-based diet by 2025. Pollsters Ipsos Mori believe 38m adults - over 50% of adults will be vegan by 2034. I believe the trend is speeding up, so half of UK adults will be vegan by 1st Jan 2030.
Vince doesn't have a challenger yet, in case anyone is interested.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will sales of plant-based meat increase in the UK in 2024 compared to 2023?
72% chance
Will I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?
28% chance
Will >50% of the United States population identify as vegan by 2080?
30% chance
Will more than 15% of the US population identify as vegan by 2030?
7% chance
In 2068, will animal farming will be less than 10% of its size as of 2023?
50% chance
Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?
30% chance
Will a European country ban selling meat by 2100?
70% chance
Will I consider there to be good vegan cheese before 2025?
17% chance
Will the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?
68% chance
Will Destiny Go Vegan Before 2025?
2% chance