MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Nate Silver join Bluesky before 2026?
Mini
17
Ṁ458
2026
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves to "yes" if Nate Silver posts on X that he is on Bluesky or verifies on Bluesky that it's the real Nate Silver before 2026.

https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1859320712558743913

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#️ X (Twitter)
#Social Media
#BlueSky
#Nate Silver
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Comments

Related questions

Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
11% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 2 million in 2025?
14% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
-
Will Elon Musk join Bluesky by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Bluesky reach 50 million users by the end of this year?
19% chance
Will Jesse Singal be banned from Bluesky before EOY 2025?
12% chance
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 1 million again in 2025?
27% chance
When will Bluesky reach 100 million users?

Related questions

Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
11% chance
Will Elon Musk join Bluesky by end of 2025?
6% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky reach 50 million users by the end of this year?
19% chance
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
Will Jesse Singal be banned from Bluesky before EOY 2025?
12% chance
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 2 million in 2025?
14% chance
Will Bluesky’s daily posters exceed 1 million again in 2025?
27% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
-
When will Bluesky reach 100 million users?
Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules
BrowseElectionNewsAbout