Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

As of December 2022, Mitch McConnell is 80 years old. He has been the US Senate Republican Leader since 2007. He will become the all time longest serving Party Leader in the Senate from either party if he holds the post for another year.

Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)?

The question resolves as Yes if Mitch McConnell resigns, is ousted by his caucus, dies, or for any other reason loses Party Leader status for the Senate Republicans before the next presidential inauguration (currently expected for noon EST on January 20, 2025), according to credible sources.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

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