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Will AGI be created before the beginning of 2050? (Definition: Autonomous system surpassing majority of economic tasks)
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6
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2050
84%
chance
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From Wikipedia, "Alternatively, AGI has been defined as an autonomous system that surpasses human capabilities in the majority of economically valuable tasks."

I consider this to be a relatable and important metric, as it would require significant redesigns to our current financial models.

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