Will Twitter be an open distributed system before 2026?
Will Twitter be an open distributed system before 2026?
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Twitter helped start Bluesky (https://blueskyweb.org/) - a project focused on decentralized social -, and Bluesky released in October 2022 the AT Protocol (https://atproto.com/) offering ways to have decentralized social apps.
Will the main Twitter app be built upon an open distributed system before 2026? To resolve as Yes the system would need to be open meaning the nodes and data can be hosted by actors other than Twitter. (It doesn't need to be fully permissionless, meaning it could still have veto on which third party actors run the nodes).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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