As our collective memory of the devastation and fear of nuclear war recedes the risks of a nation using these weapons feels more tangible.

Global tensions are increasing worldwide with nuclear powered and nuclear-backed nations only serving to make the threat of a nuclear attack more likely.

Will the tension break this decade or will we survive another 5 years without witnessing the horrific devastation that leveled Hiroshima and Nagasaki?

This market will resolve to true for any nuclear strike on a civilian or military target even if it is a single bomb without retaliation.

This market will also resolve true if there is an attempted nuclear strike that does not detonate (as in the bomb is launched but fails to detonate because of interception or malfunction).

This market will not resolve true for dirty bombs or other non-explosive nuclear attacks including intentional nuclear power plant meltdown attacks.

This market will not resolve true for nuclear tests/shows of force. As in, if a nation detonated a nuclear weapon in a unpopulated region as a show of force to intimidate another nation. (There must be a direct intention of mass casualty/destruction of civilized areas)

This market will only resolve false if at midnight on December 31st, 2030 humanity has avoided using our nuclear capabilities on itself.