When (relative to the end) will we know when the shutdown ends?
6
Ṁ484Nov 15
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At some point, the option in /PaperBoy/how-long-will-the-government-shutdo that resolves YES will remain* at or above 50% until close. How many days (24 hour periods) will there be between that and when the shutdown ends?
From that market:
End: when the President signs a law (CR or full‑year appropriations) that restores funding to all agencies affected by the lapse. Mainstream media (NYT, WSJ, WaPo) best estimates of this time will be used.
*Remaining at or above 50% does not count brief dips below from the activity of a few traders. For instance, I would say that "Other" remained at or above 15% from a bit before 7am ET 10/14 until a bit after 4pm 10/15.
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