In 2028, who will represent the Democratic Party for President of the USA?
In 2028, who will represent the Democratic Party for President of the USA?
Mini
14
แน7592028
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
Kamala Harris
33%
Gavin Newsom
6%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Raphael Warnock
6%
Pete Buttigieg
38%
Resolves the winner to 100% when the Democratic Party has chosen a candidate, either through it's Convention or other means.
Under a extreme circumstances where a candidate isn't chosen, will resolve as N/A.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโs performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 โ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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