When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
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23
Ṁ61822027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
75%
Before July 1, 2026
83%
Before Jan 1, 2027
15%
2027 or later
Resolved
NOBefore Jan 1, 2025
Resolved
NOBefore July 1, 2025
Resolved
NOBefore Jan 1, 2026
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
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RocketLab did announce last night that they will be targeting earliest Q1 2026 for a neutron launch. Is this enough to resolve Jan 1st 2026?
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