Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve to "YES" if any of the following events occur before 11:59 PM (ET) on December 31, 2025:

1. Significant Military Engagement:

- China engages in a substantial new military conflict with another country (e.g., the Philippines, Vietnam) specifically over the Spratly Islands, resulting in casualties or the sinking of vessels. Routine naval encounters and non-violent ship buzzing are excluded.

2. Major Construction Projects:

- China begins a major new construction project on the Spratly Islands that significantly expands military capabilities, such as building a new airbase, missile installation, or a large naval base. Routine maintenance or minor upgrades of existing facilities are excluded.

3. Formal Annexation:

- China officially declares the formal annexation or creation of a new administrative region for the Spratly Islands, resulting in significant changes to the current governance or legal status of the islands recognized by major international bodies.

If none of the above events occur before the deadline, this question will resolve to "NO."

Verification Sources:

- Major international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC, CNN)

- Official statements from relevant national governments

- Reports from credible international organizations (e.g., United Nations, ASEAN)

All events and actions must be reported by at least two independent and credible sources to be considered valid for the resolution of this question.