If someone dies because of a Letzte Generation protest before 2025, will it be an activist?
Plus
10
Ṁ186Dec 31
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the following market resolves NO, this market will resolve N/A:
Otherwise, this will resolve YES if the first such person to die will themselves have been a participant in the protest. If it was someone else, then this will resolve NO. Like in the linked market, I will only count deaths that are recognized by German-language media consensus as plausibly the direct consequence of a protest. I will not bet here myself.
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