Will a large-scale solar geoengineering project be implemented by 2035?
Mini
10
Ṁ1292036
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one geoengineering project has been undertaken, and it is widely agreed to have impacted global temperatures. Resolves NO if no such consensus exists.
Get
1,000and
1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a Dyson Sphere around the Sun before 2030?
3% chance
Will climate intervention (geoengineering) reduce global mean surface temperature by at least 0.1°C by 2030?
30% chance
Will solar geoengineering techniques be deployed at any significant scale by 2030? [details in description]
59% chance
Will the U.S. attempt a large scale Solar Radiation Modification geoengineering project before 2030?
23% chance
Will we deploy large geoengineering efforts to thwart a runaway global warming before 2030?
20% chance
Will an individual or governmental entity conduct a geoengineering project to lower global temperatures by 2030?
Will the UN issue a resolution condemning or endorsing solar geoengineering by 2028?
Will someone actually “dim the sun” by 2035?
19% chance
Will there be a functional space-based solar power plant before 2045?
42% chance
If solar geoengineering becomes a major issue in US politics, which party will support it?