Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if at least one of Trump's Cabinet nominees receives Senate confirmation on January 20, 2025. The market will resolve NO if no Cabinet nominees are confirmed on that specific date.

For resolution purposes:

• For the purposes of this question, the following offices are considered the only cabinet positions:

  • Secretary of State

  • Secretary of the Treasury

  • Secretary of Defense

  • Attorney General

  • Secretary of the Interior

  • Secretary of Agriculture

  • Secretary of Commerce

  • Secretary of Labor

  • Secretary of Health and Human Services

  • Secretary of Housing and Urban Development

  • Secretary of Transportation

  • Secretary of Energy

  • Secretary of Education

  • Secretary of Veterans Affairs

  • Secretary of Homeland Security

  • Trade Representative

  • Director of National Intelligence

  • Director of the Office of Management and Budget

  • Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy

  • Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency

  • Administrator of the Small Business Administration

• Confirmation must occur through a formal Senate vote or unanimous consent on January 20, 2025.

• Acting secretaries, temporary appointments, and recess appointments do not count

• If Inauguration Day is moved from January 20th for any reason, the market will still resolve based on the first day of the presidential term

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. The unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.