Background Trump has begun assembling his potential cabinet for a possible 2025 administration. As of late 2023, there has been one confirmed withdrawal - former Rep. Matt Gaetz who was initially considered for Attorney General. Cabinet nominees must undergo extensive vetting and Senate confirmation hearings, which historically has led some nominees to withdraw due to various concerns including business conflicts, personal issues, or political opposition.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve separately for each potential nominee listed. For each person:

• YES if they are officially announced as a Trump cabinet pick AND subsequently withdraw or are withdrawn before January 20, 2025

• NO if they are announced and remain a pick through inauguration

• N/A if Trump is not inaugurated as president in January 2025

A withdrawal must be publicly confirmed either by:

• The nominee themselves

• The Trump transition team

• Multiple credible media sources

Considerations

• Senate confirmation prospects may influence whether potential nominees accept or withdraw

• Business entanglements, past statements, or new revelations could prompt withdrawals

• Historical precedent suggests 1-3 cabinet nominees typically withdraw during transition periods