Will the Supreme Court allow the “ghost gun” regulations to stand?
➕
Plus
5
Ṁ922
2025
75%
chance

This market will resolve to "YES" if the Supreme Court allows both of the regulations at issue in the Garland v. VanDerStok case to go into effect. This resolves to "NO" if the court issues any judgment that bars the ATF from enforcing either of the regulations at issue in the case. To be clear, any resolution that prevents the regulations from going into effect resolves the market to "NO".

To preserve the integrity of this market as a forum for predictions, the market may close anytime the Supreme Court is issuing opinions and then reopen after it has finished, provided that the opinion in this case has not issued.

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. The unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

Note: due to posible ambiguity I will not trade on this market.

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@traders please note that an accordance with the market rules and the values of preserving this market as a form for prediction, trading on this market will be suspended starting at 10 AM tomorrow. The market will reopen for trading once the court finishes issuing opinions, assuming that the opinion in this case has not been issued.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Does this market resolve when the Supreme Court delivers a ruling? In other words, will this market extend its closing date if no decision has been made by then?

@Quroe Yes. However, I should note that any decision including a decision to dismiss the case from the court's docket will be sufficient to resolve the question.