No, it would take an absolutely massive change especially including rapid implementation. Like imagine tomorrow the "shelf stocking" robot software side is "solved". How many years to create the production line, scale up, and actually have replaced a significant amount of workers?

Also, this question has a very high standard, where it's way more likely that "new jobs created" prevents such a fast outcome. Ex, if stocking shelves becomes way easier Walmart probably hires marginally more cashiers greeters and security personnel.

What counts as "mass unemployment"? Is there a threshold? How will you determine whether it's caused by AI or by a more mundane economic catastrophe like the Great Depression?

@EvanDaniel Good questions lol - I'll take direction from the consensus of the mainstream media...

@AitchKay Supposing you're not still active on this site by 2030, what should the mod team do in your absence? It'd be helpful to have a little more to go on than that :)

@EvanDaniel Yes I see lol - if major media outlets are saying unemployment has risen to over 25% (I believe that was roughly how bad things got in the American Great Depression?) and unequivocally state that AI is the primary cause, then we got a winner!

The problem with this question is there so far away in the future where not even sure that the website we are betting on will still be up by this date.

@ChristianJacques Dude, 2030 is quite soon, relatively speaking...