Will the United Nations pass a resolution banning the development and/or use of autonomous weapons by the end of 2024?
Plus
19
Ṁ1555Jan 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
There is not a single YES position on this and I wonder why. Is the idea of banning not feasible without some corresponding experience of desaster? Or is it so that we accept there is no realistic path to stay away from destructive potential without a threat of mutual annihilation to force us into a standoff situation? What does game theory say about this and do we feel like we can rise above it's dynamic by conscious effort?
@Tegwick USA will most likely veto any such ban: https://thehill.com/changing-america/enrichment/arts-culture/584219-us-official-rejects-plea-to-ban-killer-robots/
Related questions
Related questions
Will any adopted UN Security Council resolution mention AI by end of 2024?
24% chance
International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
48% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
A new international treaty on autonomous weapon systems by 2025-03-23?
38% chance
Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?
20% chance
Will the U.S. create a new federal agency to regulate AI by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will the US regulate AI development by end of 2025?
43% chance
Will a country ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving in at least one city center by the end of 2040?
60% chance
Will a civilian be killed by an individually-targeted, AI-guided, kamikaze aerial drone by the end of 2024?
15% chance