What will be true for the 2025 F1 season?

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Ṁ12k

Dec 8

ALL

92%

McLaren wins the WCC

84%

A driver misses a race due to health reasons

80%

Lewis Hamilton wins a (non sprint) race

74%

A team principle gets replaced during the season

38%

Leclerc and Hamilton collide and at least one of them DNFs due to the collision

31%

The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams

18%

Gabriel Bortoleto scores more points than Nico Hülkenberg

18%

Max Verstappen wins the WDC

16%

Max Verstappen skips at least one race related to birth of his child

15%

Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA

15%

A driver has to sit out at least one race due to swearing

13%

Paul Aron gets to drive a grand prix

11%

Isack Hadjar scores more points than Yuki Tsunoda

10%

RB finishes ahead of RBR in WCC

Resolved

YES

A driver gets permanently replaced during the season

Resolved

YES

Isack Hadjar gets to drive a grand prix

Resolved

YES

Liam Lawson replaced before Abu Dhabi

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

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