In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
Mini
9
Ṁ10432187
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.2%
2024
1.5%
2025
4%
2026
19%
2027
75%
This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name. The question will resolve to the year the first readers actually receive their copies (physical or digital), not to any pre-order date.
Beta readers and any form of early access are excluded from this question. Any member of the public needs to be able to order a book and receive it for the question to resolve.
I will add additional years over time. If it becomes clear it will never be published this resolves to 'Other'.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
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