Which book will be released first; between "winds of winter", "Doors of Stone", and "Thorn of Emberlain"?
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2032
9%
Doors of Stone - Patrick Rothfuss
63%
Thorn of Emberlain - Scott Lynch
28%
Winds of Winter - GRR Martin

So all three have been eagerly awaited for a long time with delays. There are some promising signs for all three in the last 6 months. At the same time many previous misleading hints have led nowhere in the past. So i am basing this on actual release of the book not just announcement that finished with editor or even announved dste that could slip here we are only concerned with , actually being available to read). Can include Posthumous release and/or with assistance from another writer.

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Could have gone even further and added Robert Caro's final Years of Lyndon Johnson book. https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-caros-fifth-lbj-book-be-publis

Lisa Simpson Optimism GIF by The Simpsons

@Joshua I'm not confident at this point, but hoping one of them sorts something soon. Scott posted about things going well, Martin said has 500 pages left a while back, and Rothfuss has a novella in the series later in the year so apparently writing again. Subliminally though I am confident in the next red rising and Abercrombie books as a fallback, although I'm out of mana for questions at this point!

I kid, Scott should have this in the bag well before then IMO.

@Joshua cool with any result if I'm honest. Any announcement will start me on a re-read, and after getting through lightbringer in double quick time I need direction... GB is a good call IMHO