I'm not exactly familiar with the situation, and I'm basically going off this comment as a description of what happened: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-bte-get-unbanned-before-the-en#m34dpg5v85f

But, here's my 2 cents on why I vote YES.

BTE exploited an oversight in the platform, in order to "unfairly" profit in mana. IMHO, any sort of platform manipulation that can be done from a single account (i.e. no sockpuppets etc.) should be fair game (this is a less defensible opinion in real-money market contexts, but I think it at least holds for play-money). Although I think its reasonable for Manifold to take away his gains from this loophole and fix the bug, banning seems a bit much.

Even if we uncharitably believe BTE is "unreformed" and would do the same thing again if given the opportunity, it should be Manifold's responsibility to make sure that's a technical impossibility, not on him.

#JusticeForBTE #FreeBTE

BTE was naughty but i believe in 2nd/nth chances

I voted yes, not necessarily bc I think unbanning rn is the move, but because of the note in the description about "before the end of 2024". If we assume it's easy to catch/ban again, then there is a world where BTE's presence can be monitored/contained, and it will be positive for the site. There's a reason he was once given the ability to take on debt to create markets!

It may not be possible yet, but hopefully soon 😃 I personally enjoy betting against BTE.

Does “allowed only to make trades once the real money pivot happens” count as Yes?

From my read of the description, I think so, yes

edit: at least, I interpreted it to mean that a conditional unban / restricted account / etc. was included in YES

Alr, just wanna point it out bc it means Yes is a weaker requirement than it might otherwise appear

Good point

may be a better poll would be how should BTE be unbanned, I haven't thought carefully enough about this poll

I made a poll that I feel reflects better my intuitive meaning for ‘should be unbanned’, curious to see the diff in results